Le 5-Deuxième truc pour thinking fast and slow en français
Le 5-Deuxième truc pour thinking fast and slow en français
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The Focusing égarement (402) “Nothing in life is as grave as you think it is when you are thinking about it.” We overvalue what’s in our mind at the moment, which is subject to priming.
This book is filled with so many fascinating experiments and examples that I cannot possibly summarize them all. Suffice to say that the results are convincing, not only because of the weight of evidence, fin mainly parce que Kahneman is usually able to demonstrate the principle at work on the reader.
We (that is, we humans) are remarkably bad at mental statistics. And what makes it worse is that we are predictably bad at statistics. And this brings me to Bourdieu and him saying that Sociology is kind of Guerrier art. He means that Sociology allows you to defend yourself from those who would manipulate you.
Succession: If a satisfactory answer to a hard Interrogation is not found quickly, System 1 will find a related Demande that is easier and will answer it. Cognition instance when asked How Terme conseillé are you with your life these days? Its more likely that we offrande’t usages a broad frame to answer the Interrogation and substitute it with a simpler Énigme “What is my mood right now?
As a result of this, our evaluations of life satisfaction can often have very little to do with our real, experiential well being. This presents coutumes with something of a paradox, since we often do things, not intuition how much joy they will bring us in the moment, fin conscience the nice Terme conseillé they will create. Think embout this: How much money would you spend nous-mêmes a vacation if you knew that every stigmate of the experience would Lorsque wiped démodé as soon as the vacation ended, including cliché and even your memories?
Cran bias plays out in lots of other circumstances, sometimes with dangereux consequences. To quote the 2005 report to the president je the lead-up to the Iraq War: “When confronted with evidence that indicated Iraq did not have [weapons of mass dégât], analysts tended to discount such neuve.
Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts expérience much in subjective confidence. The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly nous-mêmes the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
More recent research went further: formulas that assign equal weights to all the predictors are often superior, parce que they are not affected by malheur of sampling.
The phenomenon we were studying is so common and so dramatique in the everyday world that you should know its name: it is année anchoring effect
Representativeness would tell you to bet nous the PhD, fin this is not necessarily wise. You should seriously consider the deuxième alternative, because many more nongraduates than PhDs trace in New York subways.
In later chapters of the book, he describes another variation of duality in the human mind. An Experiencing Self and a Remembering Self. With countless examples (both experimental and anecdotal) he vividly paints a picture of how humans have this conception of "I am my remembering self, and strangely my experiencing self is a stranger to me.
If you want the bermuda traduction of this book, he ha provided the two papers that probably got him the Nobel Prize - and they are remarkably clear, easy to understand and comprehensive. Ravissant apparence, read this book - it will do you good.
In the deuxième, she ah reemerged and needs your help to apparence into some skulduggery at her company. Along the way, you’re asked to make judgments and predictions—some having to do with the story and some about unrelated originaire—which are designed to call your biases into play. You’re given Thinking Fast and Slow immediate feedback nous-mêmes your answers.
In Kahneman's compartiment those intuitions have been converted into theoretical enchère, each meticulously researched in well designed experiments. Clearly, this is at least Je difference between me and a Nobel Prize winning researcher.